Ask FERC to investigate winter price spike
As contained in previous post Realgy Supports a Review of the January 2014 Energy Price Spikes, Realgy is joining CUB and all public advocates in asking FERC to investigate market manipulation of energy prices during the winter of 2014.
Please Ask the FERC to investigate and complete the petition at the bottom of the page; its intention is to ask FERC to investigate as we all have a complaint in common as seen below.
As has been noted in Realgy’s blog, the extreme cold winter weather has driven demand to levels not seen in 20 years. See “Polar Vortex created record demand for natural gas” and “In Response to “Hedge funds bet on US gas shortage as cold boosts demand”. If energy traders, pipeline companies, utilities, or power plant operators manipulated supply so as to cause us to buy the higher price energy it’s against the law. These actions need to be exposed in order to recover any monies already paid.
Realgy promises to keep you informed of this effort.
Realgy does not speculate on price changes
The CNBC article “Natural Gas could rise to $8: Energy expert” is an interview with a natural gas trader. One noteworthy facet of traders’ work is that they speculate on the changing cost of natural gas so as to profit from a price increase or decrease.
This is EXACTLY opposite from what Realgy does.
Realgy tries to buy natural gas so as to deliver the lowest price to our customers. The greatest variable in doing this is the changing volume of natural gas used by our customers.
Consumption or demand for natural gas; this is an instance where the trader and the energy marketer are both dependent on the weather (along with storage). Weather is the greatest driver in how much natural gas will be used; storage allows for a buffer in allowing the gas in storage to be readily available for use.
In the CNBC article, the discussion about the weather affecting consumption (withdrawals from storage equate to higher demand) is accurate. However, the coldest winter in 20 years would create disruption in any market place. So gas prices should rise when demand soars; the law of supply and demand dictates they do.
So the question is, by how much? Should they rise 27% in a day, followed by 15%, etc.? The answer is…probably not. This is when traders’ speculation drives pricing for which ALL users pay.
Realgy works with traders but does not speculate on price changes for natural gas or electricity.
Check out the CNBC article: “Natural Gas could rise to $8: Energy expert”
The First Electric Generator of Its Kind
The Ivanpah solar power plant in the Mojave Desert officially opened Thursday February 13, 2014 after almost four years of construction, and is the first electric generator of its kind.
A field of mirrors at the Ivanpah power plant in California. Jim Wilson/The New York Times
“…focuses sunlight from 350,000 mirrors onto 2,200-ton boilers 339 feet in the air to make steam that drives turbines to produce electricity”
To imagine what this is, put yourself at the beach, you are 6 feet tall (or you’re standing on a beach chair), and you look as far as you can to the horizon; that should be about 4 miles. From this spot on the beach, 350,000 mirrors are spread over a distance farther than you can see (5 miles in all directions) and all those mirrors direct the sun’s rays onto the surface of a boiler that gets hot enough to produce steam which is used to drive a turbine to produce electricity.
That is cool!
It will take bold and imaginative ideas and, while some ideas may prove to be impractical, we will find ways to continue to create energy for the world’s consumers that can be sustained (without damaging the earth for the next 100 years).
Realgy has invested in photovoltaic (PV) solar generation where the sun light is converted into electricity within the solar panel.
Check out the NY Times article: “A Huge Solar Plant Opens, Facing Doubts About Its Future”
Why are natural gas bills so high?
Two factors are at play on your bill; the amount of energy used and its cost. The following example is based on natural gas but electricity would be similar.
| This Year | Last Year | |
| Usage in Therms | 113 | 72 |
| This winter is 13% colder than Normal. | ||
| Gas cost/Therm | $0.718 | $0.420 |
| Average gas prices have more than doubled | ||
| Billed | $81.13 | $30.24 |
| Your bill will be the higher than it has been in the last 5 years | ||
Last year was warmer than a Normal* winter; in fact it was 72% of Normal in December 2012 and January 2013.
So if in a Normal year you use 100 Therms of natural gas, last winter you used 72. This was when the price of natural gas was about $0.420/Therm.
Now consider this December 2013 and January 2014 winter that is 13% colder than Normal.
So you will use 113 Therms. This is when the price of natural gas is about $0.718/Therm.
*a Normal winter is an average of 20 winters
A POLAR VORTEX…now that’s an extreme Weather Event!
Due to the severe weather in the Chicago Area during January 2014, the price of power quadrupled. Fortunately there was no accompanying shortage and, while the cost of power increased, the grid and the generation met everyone’s demand.
The wholesale costs for January 2014 for deliveries into the Tri-State (Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan) area:
- Natural gas went from about $4.40 to nearly $18.00
- Electricity settled at over $0.75, where it is normally around $.035
Realgy will recover the costs related to this short-term power cost increase with a onetime Real-Time Settlement charge on electric bills. This charge covers only the additional costs Realgy incurred for the market power we had to purchase to cover the extreme costs associated during this period. It will appear on either your January or February bills. By contrast, the utility will eventually raise rates (usually limited to two times a year) to cover their costs during this event.
Natural gas bills will look the same but you will notice the bill is higher. While Realgy’s base rate remains low the cost related to each utilities supply management practices imposed by Utility will increase our costs. Each utility limits what we can display on the bill so we can only display on our web site or in your storage report.
The breadth of Realgy’s experience extends back to the last time such an extreme weather event happened, which was 20 years ago. That is why Realgy offers the services we do to help protect our customers. Even though the market wholesale price in Chicago for natural gas and electricity jumped two to four times, Realgy’s average customer will pay less than a 40% increase for January gas and electricity.
Realgy does three things to consistently protect our customers from normal and extreme weather events:
- Managed Plan–a consistent low price to save money compared to Utility
- Fixed Price–through PriceWatchTM, this year (like the last three years) the Realgy PriceWatchTM Fixed Price was below the average winter price
- Storage (except for Michigan)–Winter gas at Summer Prices is a great way to prepay for winter gas with the added benefit that you do so at the summer prices.
Realgy will continue to do everything possible to continue to meet our customer’s expectations to save money on energy and rely on Realgy.
If you did not receive your PriceWatchTM notice this year, now is a good time to update your contact information with Realgy. You can do this by going to realgyenergyservices.com and filling out the Customer Contact Info Update Form.
Polar Vortex created record demand for natural gas
Written by Michael Vrtis, President of Realgy Energy Services in response to the USA Today article “Arctic blasts create record demand for natural gas”
The laws of supply and demand actually work; cold weather broke a 20-year record, energy consumption skyrocketed, and the prices went up.
Lake Michigan in Chicago, Illinois
How high?
The wholesale costs for January 2014 for deliveries into the Chicago market:
- Natural gas went from about $4.40 to nearly $18.00
- Electricity settled at over $0.750, where it is normally around $.035
Supply went up as the weather caused record energy demand and prices subsequently followed. No one went cold as supply kept up to demand; however, without advanced planning, you paid a lot more.
Realgy’s experience goes back to when we set the previous low temperature record. We were prepared for this eventuality, so our customers will pay far less with the use of Realgy’s ManagedPriceTM, storage, and PriceWatchTM.
Any good news?
Groundhogs Day on February 2, 2014 started with a shadow, so we should see 6 more weeks…but we are halfway through winter!
Check out the article in USA Today: “Arctic blasts create record demand for natural gas”
In Response to “Study: Solar could power more of Iowa’s energy needs”
Written by Michael Vrtis President of Realgy Energy Services in response to the Des Moines Register article Study: Solar could power more of Iowa’s energy needs
Iowa in addition to producing more corn and hogs than they consume could produce more solar energy!
GO IOWA!
In the article such factors as; declining costs of installing solar along with recognition of the environmental benefits (recognized by tax incentives) are driving such rapid growth and adoption of solar energy.
Realgy in completing 2 new installations now has 4 solar projects in Illinois generating 180,153 kWh producing roughly 0.4 % of the total energy we delivered into COMED for 2013…..while a contribution we clearly are no Iowa!
Check out The Des Moines Register article: Study: Solar could power more of Iowa’s energy needs
Michigan Electric Utilities keep cap in place
Michigan continues with a 10% cap on electric choice customers enrolling with a marketer.
Michigan customers should encourage their state representatives to open up customer choice for all electric customers not just an artificial few.
2014 Cap Data (MWh)
| Electric Utility | Final 2014 Cap | Current Choice Load |
| DTE | 4,771,485 | 5,173,206 |
| Consumers | 3,633,126 | 3,978,368 |
| AEP (I&M) | 283,505 | 0 |
| We Energies | 249,619 | 2,084,930 |
| UPPCO | 87,947 | 82,947 |
| WPS | 29,188 | 21,431 |
Data courtesy of Energy Choice Matters
Source:
Energy Choice Matters, Michigan Utilities File Final Choice Caps for 2014, Space Available at 3 Utilities
In Response to “New Campaign Encourages Michigan Residents to Cut Down on Wasted Energy”
Written by Michael Vrtis, President of Realgy Energy Services in response to the Market Wired article “New Campaign Encourages Michigan Residents to Cut Down on Wasted Energy”
Public service reminders, are normally quite humble. Successful campaigns (forest fire awareness and anti-smoking) began as simple public service notices. Smokey the Bear in now part of our national consciousness and no one likes to be around smokers.
So it could be with energy. The new Michigan campaign seems so simple; energy is a cost than can be mitigated with insulation; use less to heat as leaks are found and eliminated and with more informed purchase plans.
It only takes math to figure it out; spend $100 and save $25 on energy the pay back on the $100 is 4 months.
Realgy offers lower cost ways to buy energy than the utility offers; it only takes math to figure out the savings; talk about NO DRAMA!
Stay warm and do so with math.
Check out the article in Market Wired: “New Campaign Encourages Michigan Residents to Cut Down on Wasted Energy”
In Response to “Nest Gives Google Its Next Big Data Play: Energy”
Written by Michael Vrtis, President of Realgy Energy Services in response to the Forbes article “Nest Gives Google Its Next Big Data Play: Energy”
As technology advances, so does everything else.
The thermostat remains a humble device to call for more heating or cooling to occur, but when connected to the Internet, it is transformed into a retail energy service.
Commercial businesses did this at the meter long ago and continue to do this. Certainly more utilities are moving toward implementing the capabilities of the Internet at the meter. However, Google has the interest and the financial capabilities to at least challenge the utility meter offering, if not win it.
This is a great addition to the ongoing implementation of technology into our every day.
Realgy offers choices that deliver savings. The consumer should understand the better the information, the better the energy choices. Realgy will continue to advocate for open access to any data collection device a customer or utility chooses to install.
Check out the article in Forbes: “Nest Gives Google Its Next Big Data Play: Energy”